IT'S BUBBLE WEEEEEEEEEKKKKKKK!!!!!!!!!
Officially recognized by the United Nations as the best week of the year, this final week of the regular season marks the first test to pass for 12 owners that all enter hoping to have a chance at the elusive Breakfast League title. Only six will pass on with a chance to win it all through two or three more games.
Here's how my ranking is: it's not by odds to get into the playoff (which I will go over, thanks to Al's Bubble Tracker (C) technology), and it's not by most deserved spot after the regular season. It's ranked in the order I estimate the final standings to be - in other words, #1 is the person who I estimate will win the playoffs and become your next Breakfast League Champion. The same is on the back end - in fact, the last place team in my rankings actually has a chance to make the playoffs.
Let's start with the Bubble Tracker - I'll post all the pictures here, and I'll go more into depth with each owner. Fortunately, there won't be a scenario where Points For changes the results:
PLAYOFF SCENARIOS:
SAUSAGE DIVISION SCENARIOS:
ODDS:
12. Conner Party - WIN AND IN
For Jared Kmiecik, the playoffs start now. As the Sausage Division is a combined 17-35 in the Breakfast League, only the winner gets in to the playoffs with the auto bid. As it so happens, the two eligible teams (by tiebreaker) are playing each other this weekend.
So, why do I put Jared dead last? Sorry my man - you've forgot to set your lineups repeatedly. I predict that, coupled with Lamar Jackson likely not starting this weekend, you will not only miss out on the playoffs, but that you will finish dead last in the consolation ladder. You have two players on BYE in your starting lineup as I type. I just don't believe that things will change in the front office AFTER missing the playoff instead of BEFORE.
11. Team Suspension - INVENT A TIME MACHINE
Kaelan just took too many risks in the draft. Per his tradition, he drafted suspended players, and while one or two paid off... it's just not enough weeks of production taken in the draft. Unnecessary risks can kill or make a season. This time it killed.
10. Crazy Train - INVENT A TIME MACHINE
It's not the worst lineup... but sometimes it's just not your year. After all, you did have the dubious honor of having the most points scored against you. But you also scored the 2nd-worst amount of points in the League too.
9. I'm Really Feeling It! - WIN, AND SAN DIEGO STATE FIGHTING ARAIZAS HAS TO BEAT BAKER'S DOZEN
Al needs some help - Dan has to beat Daren for Al to have a shot, and Al has to win his own game. He only has a 25% chance of getting in, and while I like his roster, too much has to go his way.
8. Kittle Bit of CHAOS - INVENT A TIME MACHINE
It's over my man, but I predict you'll do well in the consolation contests. Herbert, Chubb, Kittle, Keenan Allen... not a bad look. Sadly you can't even play spoiler though, as your game is meaningless to the rest of the group.
7. Baker's Dozen - WIN, AND KOO KOO KA CHOO HAS TO BEAT *TEAMNAME REDACTED*
Daren Lincourt can only get in with Connor Gibson. There is no ride to the playoff kingdom unless Connor is driving. The odds are low, and that's why I don't feel great about his chances.
6. San Diego State Fighting Araizas - YOU'RE IN! First-Round Bye: WIN, AND TEAM SUSPENSION HAS TO BEAT IT JUST MEANS MOORE
It's Kenneth vs. Dan for the second first-round bye, with a small chance for Koo Koo Ka Choo to slide in there as well. While Dan could win his matchup, I don't see Kaelan pulling off a fifth win for the season before heading to consolation. I send Dan onward to the playoffs (as he has locked up a spot), but I see him losing in the first round. Why? Two reasons, both starters in his lineup right now: Zonovan Knight and Foster Moreau. Who? Yeah, yeah, the real starters are on bye. There's just not enough star power here.
5. Koo Koo Ka Choo - WIN AND YOU'RE IN! OR, AL OR DAN HAVE TO LOSE
Really, there's a bunch of scenarios here for Connor - everything from first-round bye to missing out on the playoffs. A whole bunch of things have to go wrong for him to miss out, a whole bunch of things have to go right for him to get the bye. It is my pleasure to announce that he will NOT be advancing in the playoffs! But I hope I'm not there to beat him - as I hope to get the bye. The FLEX and RB spots just aren't strong enough for a deep run... but I could be proven wrong if Mahomes and Kelce ball out, which they tend to do in December.
4. It Just Means Moore - I'M IN! For first round bye, WIN! OR, CONNOR AND DAN BOTH HAVE TO LOSE
I don't like my team. I think because of Kaelan's lineup issues I'll squeak out a win this week and get the first-round bye, but I don't think I have the depth anymore to make it to the final. My team has suffered injuries and I've lost two of my last three, after losing just two in the first ten weeks.
3. Wilson's Cougar Hunters - YOU'RE IN, AND YOU WON THE REGULAR SEASON!
Hell of a year, RJ. Well done. But if I recall correctly, only one of us has won the regular season and the title. Justin Fields has been on fire - but now he is fighting injury, and your backup hasn't played a game in a long time. Your bench is okay, but for a title run? You'll have to be firing on all cylinders. I think you'll fall short.
2. Make Fantasy Great Again - WIN AND YOU'RE IN
My surprise pick to make the title game, the winner of the worst conference in fantasy is going to surprise all of us. Prescott will turn it on in December to get his team to the playoffs... they have to get there to choke after all. Harris, Jacobs, Kirk, Cowboys D/ST? Solid lineup that's seen some bad luck. You've seen the third-most points scored against you after all. Look out folks. He's gonna be runner up again - but who stops him? Well...
1. *TeamName Redacted* - WIN AND YOU'RE IN! OR, DAN AND AL HAVE TO WIN
Surprise pick to win it all! But is it really? He's scored the most points this year, and he didn't do it against weak competition. Besides, look at who survived the season to fight for this team: Allen, Ekeler, Etienne, Evans, the Sun God, Hockenson, Thielen, Olave... good God man, you're stacked. This team is gonna go ALL. THE. WAY. But first thing's first... you gotta win this week.
Best luck to all!
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