The final week of the regular season. It's arguably the most enjoyable week.
This year, we have six teams vying for four playoff spots: Avant Gardeyns, Crazy Train, I'm Bringing Rexy Back, Party Like It's 1999, Children of Thanos and Frost Advisory.
Four of these teams will advance to the playoff, and win money (even a record of 0-2 in the playoffs means you break even, earning $20). Thanks to Al Ohlinger's Bubble Tracker (TM) Technology, we can look at every scenario for game outcomes this week, and see what each team in contention has to do to make the playoffs. Here it is:
Now, let me assure you - have no doubts about the Bubble Tracker. Yes, in one instance, the final four were different than the scenarios predicted (2017). That is NOT the case this year. The tracker has been double-proofed with ESPN resources, both Al and I's watching eyes AND many, many Reddit chains that answered our tiebreaker questions. Rest assured: the Bubble Tracker is a guarantee that you can take to the bank this year.
This power ranking will be complete with Bubble Tracker analysis, looking in-depth at this week's match-ups, odds, and - my favorite - PREDICTIONS!!! Gentlemen... enjoy the last hurrah.
PS: If you're not fighting for a playoff spot... I won't spend much time on you.
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12. Donald Trumps Hair (1-9)
Ethan's only chance at anything of significance this year? Defeating Kenny Pancake in this week's match-up. Is it likely? Hah! No.
11. Chronic Masterdeflator (1-9)
After bringing his rookie squad all the way to the final week of the regular season last year... Dan the Man fell short. Indeed, his entire season fell apart this year. But remember: there is still a chance to spoil... oh wait, he can't even play spoiler. Sucks to suck!!!!
10. The Rampaging Koala Bears (2-8)
Nice win last week. Unfortunately, those numbers are a rarity for you. Better luck next time - oh, and you can't spoil anyone this week either.
9. Team Suspension (3-7)
Win, and you knock Brandon Gaede out of the playoff race completely. It's that easy. JUST DO IT.
8. Just Call Burton (4-6)
Useless. Sad!
7. Attack of the Mahomes (4-6)
This season just proved that, no matter how good the team is that you draft, basing a team off of a single NFL squad is not a good idea if you want to win. Last team without a shot.
----- PLAYOFF CONTEST LINE -----
6. Crazy Train (7-3): 1182.9 PF, 31% Chance of making playoffs
And here we are at the competitors. It seems like some time since Sean Alumbaugh has owned a competitive team, but here we are. Although technically needing the most help to make the playoffs, Sean has a 63% of making the final four if he just wins against Al this week. A loss will completely eliminate him.
In addition, Sean could really use a boost from Kaelan Carlson upsetting Children of Thanos this weekend. With a win for himself and a Carlson victory, Sean is locked in - and he even has a chance at the 2 seed! If Gaede wins against Carlson, Sean only has a couple of chances. Row 15 especially deserves a look - Sean could potentially still make it in this scenario by out-scoring Children of Thanos by 30-ish points.
5. Children of Thanos (7-3): 1212.7 PF, 38% Chance of making playoffs
In similar fashion, a win gives Brandon a 75% chance to go dancing. A loss shuts him out. Coupled with a win from Avant Gardeyns, Gaede could punch his ticket straight to the dance.
Again, row 15 should be observed. If Crazy Train scores enough points... a win still won't be good enough for Brandon. And although he has a better chance of making the playoffs than Sean, his best seed is the 3 seed
4. I'm Bringing Rexy Back (7-3): 1311.9 PF, 63% Chance of making playoffs
Considering that I am playing the worst team in the league this week, chances are realistically more in the range of 90%. With the expected win over Donald Trumps Hair, I am guaranteed to go dancing. I am one of four teams that controls my destiny (the other three can be found below).
If I were to lose, I would only have a couple of paths to the playoffs (25% odds) - and they both run right through Kaelan Carlson, and his effort to defeat Children of Thanos. These roads would also require a PL99 victory over Sean Alumbaugh.
3. Party Like It's 1999 (8-2): 1183.1 PF, 81% Chance of making playoffs
It's looking really good for Al Ohlinger to return to the playoffs for the third season in a row. Win, and he's in. Lose, and he still has a 63% chance of making it in. BUT, in reality, it's slightly less than that - four of those five scenarios include a monumental upset, courtesy of the Orange Man's toupee.
A win, coupled with a Scott Frost victory, would put the Party into the #1 seed of the tournament for the second time in his three years in the league.
2. Frost Advisory (8-2): 1248 PF, 88% Chance of making playoffs
RJ found himself in a good spot here. A win is a guarantee, but even a loss leaves a 75% chance for RJ to enter the playoffs for a second time in three years.
If he loses, and I win, his chances sink to 50%. If he loses and Gaede wins, his chances ALSO sink to 50%. All three combined would end his streak to the top. But if he wins, and Alumbaugh wins? It's a #1 seed for the first time for RJ.
1. Avant Gardeyns (8-2): 1167.9 PF, LOCKED IN
Stop overlooking Alex Annan, people. The 2017 runner-up has ONCE AGAIN locked up his spot in the playoffs heading into the final week of regulation. With a win, he takes the top seed too!
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Predictions:
#1 Frost Advisory (9-2)
#2 Avant Gardeyns (8-3)
#3 I'm Bringing Rexy Back (8-3)
#4 Children of Thanos (8-3)
ScaFra vs. Pretty Glove - RJ!
Jazzy Boi vs. Breakfast - Breakfast!
The Battle of the Husker-Colorado Journey Partners - Pancake wins it all!!!
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If you have any questions, let Al or I know! We hope your enjoyed the third installment of the Bubble Tracker (TM) Technology!
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